Thursday, 14 March 2013

Day 3 Cheltenham Festival Preview

This is some card. Cheltenham, the gift that keeps on giving.

The Jewson Novices chase has been lit up with the declaration of Dynaste. He has a solid look as a favourite and fairly priced. Kingbet and some other bookmakers are giving money back if your 2nd to the favourite which is a nice concession. Noel Meade had a late change of heart and entered Texas Jack in the race. His form has been boosted yesterday by the Irish horses in the RSA and was a cracking each way bet earlier in the week, as pointed out by judge and blogger Tony Keenan (@racingtrends). I would have completely missed his entry in a busy week otherwise as you take it for granted the non handicaps are not changing shape once the week is upon us. Aupcharlie splits opinion, in one sense the drop back in trip looks ideal and today he could be a cracking bet, another line of thought is why hasn't he gone and won some of the races he has contested in tight finishes and maybe he is a bit soft. I'm sitting on the fence with him as he's short enough. Tom Georges Module is highly thought of and respected though his team have not fired yet this week. Captain Conan is priced on reputation that form thus far, while Marito is obviously well highly regarded in the Mullins stable as money for him and may still have to see the best of the French import. Texas Jack under a patient ride looks best value to win or come 2nd to the favourite. I'm not normally critical of jockeys but again Tom Scudamore is one of few who doesn't give me confidence.

The Pertemps Hurdle has more plots than a Sherlock Holmes series. But my pick has been ShuttheFrontDoor for some time. 7/1`now I can't see him out of the frame. Earlier double figure quotes have been snapped up and he is primed for today. Sam Winner is obviously respected, as is Pateese at a big price at 40's.

The Ryanair is good renewal, not many runners, but a competitive 8. I can't put anyone off First Lieutenant, he's my idea of the winner for the past 6 months. As is Bobs Worth tomorrow in the Gold Cup. A double is not the worst bet. With the dead 8 however Menorah 8/1 and for Non Stop 14/1 appeal each way with a quarter of the odds a place, favourable each way terms.

The world hurdle is a bit of a maze. I'm going to side with good ground and course performer in Get Me Out Of Here each way 9/1. On at 20's I'm glad ground looks to have dried up well. You can discount his winter runs. I'd say they were half in preparation for the Coral Cup but since Big Bucks absence they are aiming now for Big Bucks. Solwhit could be the class angle and unexposed horse at 3miles, and he certainly gets my saver.

In the Byrne Group Plate I'm cheering on the green and gold again as I believe Cantlow 7/1 has been prepared nicely to win a handicap like this. Hunt Ball and Mad Moose should run well at a track they have before and are both in cracking form. The favourite is many peoples handicap blot of the week and will be well backed.

The Kim Muir looks impossible. 5 places with Kingbet is a big help.Problema Tic is my choice each way. There's not much confidence behind Alfie Sherrin at time of typing but that may change and he's respected.

X Country if the ground seems to be drying out during the day I'd have the slight preference for the once classy Bostons angel. Outlaw Pete if he put his best foot forward the biggest danger. 16 runners here so nice each way.

If JP McManus and AP are interviewed post race multiple times today I'm in business! Or will it be a break from the norm with Noel Meade training a winner up the hill. Either or I'll be happy, both and I'll be elected.

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