Monday, 19 March 2012

First Game, First Down

We all know the feeling. Somebody has just called your bluff. Bollox why’d I go all in on a pair of fours? Not only will you have to suffer the shame of bowing out of the game, you’ll be forced to show to the table – and by extension – the world, that you can write plenty of cheques but when it comes to cashing them you’re about as secure as an Irish banking institution. The aura you so confidently eluded mere minutes before has evaporated as quick as the sweat patches formed under your arms. It all seemed so easy as you pushed the green chips to the middle of the table. Surely nobody will call me? I’ll re-raise just to be safe.......Soon enough you’ve the rent money on the table and you’re pricing how much food will cost you for the rest of the week. In the immortal words of Mick McCarthy – your arse in the bacon slicer.


In the bigger more fluid game of poker, that is American Football, I’d long since re-mortgaged the house with boasts of 50 yard field goals. Within the blink of an eye, Round 1 arrived and my bravado would actually be tested. All the practice with Coach Ramos would be put to the test in the ultimate arena – a live competitive sporting event. I’ve had a fairly successful couple of months in training. My kicking percentage has increased and my bad kicks have nearly disappeared. I am far from nailing all my kicks but I look like a kicker now. Throughout the pre-season, the team had lost a punter so I was called into fulfil that duty as well. Initially this was the position I had wanted but without much practice, I was going to have to wing it. My kickoffs were frankly rubbish until our Defensive Tackle Dave spotted a flaw in my style. A quick change and I was pinning the opposition back with my kickoffs. All this though was in the friendly environment of Spartans Training. The New Jersey Pitbulls wouldn’t be so nice about it.


After getting padded up, I was presented with my jersey. I’d requested the number 32 (an ode to my Sinn Fein days and a goal all Irish Republicans strive towards) and the club had come good for me. The jersey fitted me but the questions as to whether I could fill it out or not still lingered. A quick warm up later and it was time for the coin toss. I was hoping if we won the toss to receive first thus delaying my debut onto the field. In this regard I was not so lucky. The call went up for the kickoff team and all I could do was bless myself and say to Him what he must be sick of hearing from me at this stage – please don’t let me feck this up. I had what I’d best describe as first date nerves: if this goes well I’m going to be very happy and will wonder why I worried but if I goes badly I’ll have to delete her number and I’ll never be able to frequent certain bars again. In this case she drinks in my local so the stakes were high. In near blind panic I asked the ref where the kickoff was from. (Interestingly nobody from the Spartans organisation thought this was important information to tell me). All he would say was the same place as the NFL. Tentatively I placed the ball on the 35 yard line and awaited a whistle. I stepped back 10 yards, cupped my hands a la Johnny Wilkinson, took a deep breath and let rip. Seconds later the ball was stopped at their 35 and I trotted off happy in the knowledge that Act 1 had went well.


Two punts later and I was suddenly up and about. The previous play a Pitbull had tried to clean my out when I came into the vicinity of the play. I’d spotted him a mile off but didn’t move until he got close. Some pleasantries were exchanged and now I was riled up. In training, I half seriously asked the coaches to let me stretch my legs and throw the fake punt – essentially the plan was to pin back my ears and run for Ireland.  On this day Coach Moss had identified a weak link in their defensive set up and was actually keen for me to exploit it. Coach Moss is an intense dude come game day. He is the sort of person who would have excelled in the Gaelic Athletic Association – a man so passionate about his area and his sport that he self-funded the Spartans and who dedicates his life to the cause. When he places his confidence in you, it is a real morale boaster. So on my fifth punt of the game, he gave the signal. My “protector” G was to make a hole and I was to run through it until I got passed the first down marker. G and I have struck up what must be as unlikely a friendship as they come – the kid from West Africa and the kid from the West of Ireland shouldn’t have much common ground. But we share a passion to do our best and I knew I was in good hands if he was going to be making the hole. The snap came and predictably I fumbled it. When I picked it up, I raised my head just in time to see G clean a bloke out.

Hello hole, hello first down, I don’t think we’ve met before.

I was bundled out of bounds (please, I’m way too pretty to try and cut in field) and arose to a mass of green and black shirts congratulating me. On the next play our running back Goose showed me how to properly exploit a hole and suddenly we were a different animal. Alas it all arrived too late for us to change the outcome but in that short spell we should why we’ll be contenders come the summer.


Every so often the last card dealt is another 4 and you sit there and try to contain your joy as you casually extend your arms to collect your chips along with his. Your swagger back, you reassure everybody that you knew what you were doing but under it all you thank God and convince yourself you’ll never gamble again. Well until next Saturday that is. Roll on the rest of the season.

Follow Seamus on twitter @fbspecial

Friday, 16 March 2012

Gold Cup Day

Exhausted, emotional and confused after 3 long days. But as Catch Me did not get up under AP in the 2nd today we are still in the game. 2 winning days were followed by a shocker today both as a layer and a bettor. As a bookmaker the Pertemps was the only race we didn't lose on the day. Some relief, the audacious gamble on the JP owned Catch Me just fell short. Big Bucks broke the hearts of Willie Mullins trio and Henderson's Oscar Whisky in the World hurdle today in awesome style. Case closed, he is the greatest stayer of all time! How folly of me to doubt him. Andrew Lynch rode a wonderful race to challenge last on Voler La Vedette, switching to the outside of Big Bucks as he veered left, whilst trying not to eyeball the Dicheat machine. All in vein. Ruby did it the hard way today. Big Bucks was nearly at his most impressive, even after all this time.

A brief few thoughts on Day 4 
Triumph is double dutch to me. Take Countrywide Flame to enjoy better galloping test on good ground ew.

County Hurdle I fancy an Irish winner. Citizenship's form is working out fantastically and I also like the smooth travelling and pacey Redera ew with most firms paying 5 places.


Boston Bob will be the Irish banker on Day 4 in the Albert Bartlett. He excites all the Mullins team but his price reflects the hype.Reminds me of pre So Young last year in the Neptune. I'll take the hugely impressive Brindisi Breeze last time out ew for some value.

Gold Cup 2012
1 Burton Port    Small solid stayer. Jumps well. Stable Flying. Should be placed at least.
2 Carruthers  Quality handiacpper. Races prominently. Good jumper. Not good enough.
3 China Rock  Classy type. Hasn't been himself lately. Excuse latest. Travel real well, won't stay.
4 Diamond Harry  Fragile Horse. V good on his day. Badly out of form. Not the biggest shock though.
5 Kauto Star  Different horse this year. Handling races well, staying gallantly, best form. Nicholls form?
6 Knockara Beau Stays well.Solid handicapper with some excellent hurdling form.Held by Midnight Ch'
7 Long Run  Looks sluggish this year,Jockey the same! Still should be good enough.Henderson......
8 Midnight Chase  Interesting in a poor Gold Cup if soft lead. Won't get breather though.
9 Quel Esprit  Thought Hennessy was awful.Tired horse after.Yet some judges make a case.Surely not
10 Synchronised Impressed by the manner of his victory lto more than the form. If it rains, charge ew
11 The Giant Bolster Solid Handicapper. Am I repeating myself. Cheltenham specialist. Cool Dawn stuff
12  The Midnight Club  Will be staying on. Needs them to go around again though.Out to nick a place
13 Time for Rupert Classy type on his day.Has lost his way.Needs to find himself!Not biggest shock
14 Weird Al  More realistic. Goes well fresh. Unexposed at top class. Short enough now.
15 What a Friend Will travel well.Finds little.Ran well last year.But his lack of battle, place at best.

Conclusion; Do you notice all the negatives! It's that sort of race. Mad to take on Long Run and Kauto Star but by the time you go down through them, process of elimination, your left with nothing! Kauto Star is best this year. If not for age, suspect 3m2f in Gold Cup and Nicholls stable form he'd be the most likely winner by a way. Are we worried about him and the hill or is that bolony?! Twice gold cup winner and all that. Was it his class that made up for lack of stamina all along. This year stamina looks his forte. Long Run should be improving or at least at his peak, but he's been poor this year. If he turns up 100% he wins. I used to defend Sam Waley Cohen. But 2/1 about him this year. Ruby's made him look ridiculous, especially in Haydock. Need to have a bet?! Suppose Burton Port should be placed. Barry Geraghty and Nicky Henderson. Trainer tick, Jockey tick, Recent form tick, Stamina tick, jumping tick, Class; does it matter this year...... Burton Port ew  To make up for spilt whisky today!
Maybe China Rock back to lay. Forget last run, too keen, jumped poorly. Expect him to travel well tomorrow but stamina will be an issue, get out before the hill!!


Foxhunters
Prefer the Irish form. Salsify 1/4 1-4 looks very fair bet.

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Hurdle
Dan Breen and Grandads horse each way. Tough tough race

Grand Annual
Kid Cassidy reading between the lines has been AP's idea of a Cheltenham winner for the past few months. Excited by the prospect of a big field in a handicap going a proper gallop. This may bring out the fact that he's well handicapped. His jumping has got better but is still a worry. So maybe not an each way proposition but win. I'll take Eradicate to fly up the hill for Henderson, again. He is a hardened handicappper that like Kid Cassidy will appreciate the rough and tumble of a festival race, and the good ground.

Wednesday, 14 March 2012

Weight of the World on his Withers

Thursday - Cheltenham - Day 3

1.30 Jewson Novices Chase
Peddlers Cross is joint favourite here for on fire trainer Donald McCain. One has to respect his decision to go for the Jewson instead of the RSA. In hindsight he's probably right as not much would have put it up to Bobs Worth and First Lieutenant today. He's won a Neptune and been second in a Champion Hurdle, his two chasing debuts were full of potential and satisfaction for connections. It's went a bit pear shaped since then but the price has room allowed for this. At 7/2, it's big enough for me to trust McCain has produced the horse to peak once again at the festival. A clean round and I feel he's the best horse in the race. Sir Des Champs is respected but is skinny enough while For Non Stop and Michael Flips are interesting at the prices.

2.05 Pertemps Final
The money horse all week has been once Champion Hurdle contender Catch Me. 25's to 12s he is certainly well enough handicapped on old form to win. It's been 3 and a half years since he's won though and the value has gone out of the price to be joining the charge late on. Sonofvic strikes me as potentially progressive but the fact that Ruby doesn't ride is a negative. The best have chose wrong before though so I'll include the Nicholls charge. Pineau De Rea is the other horse I think could be ahead of the handicap and a very big price. Fenton's charge should love the ground.

2.40 Ryanair
It's unreal how competitive this race is. You could pour over it for hours and find an angle for every different horse in the race. The point is though that there is nothing between them and how the race is run, tactics and jumping will win the day. Rubi Light would be the choice if any juice in the ground. Otherwise tentatively I reckon Noble Prince will run a place because of the ground and his run style, and possible improvement from a recent wind op. Somersby should of ran in the Champion Chase.

3.15 World Hurdle

When I look at this race I think that about 6 horses are value other than the favourite, meaning only one thing. They can't all win but the favourite is too short. Big Buck's been imperious but he faces his toughest challenge yet. Oscar Whiskey, whose form was franked from the Relkeel hurdle today by GMOOH and Cockney Trucker is a classy hurdler who could bridge the gap between class and stamina needed in the cocktail needed to beat beat Big Bucks.He holds Thousand Stars( County Hurdle winner) up to 2m4f but 3m will be interesting. It's plausible though Oscar Whiskey has improved this year and is a stronger proposition ready to hit heights in the 3m division.



So Young is very intriguing to in his first try in the deep end this year. An old cliche but he could be anything.Only for a momentum stopping mistake last year he could have won the Neptune, where he was third to First Lieutenant and Rock on Ruby. He's had an easy year picking off prizemoney for often little more than a gallop so So Young is a fresh horse returning for another crack at the festival. One race he beat Trifolium well on soft ground over 2m which was not nothing either.
I'm really keen to take on Big Bucks. From Oscar Whisky,So Young and Thousand Stars he has real challenge to his crown. The race has real depth as well with Dynaste, Mourad, Voler La Vedette, Carlito Brigante and Mikael D'Haguenet with real place prospects.
Oscar Whisky rates as a cracking each way bet tomorrow at 9/2. Only worry is that he fell when looking like going to win versus Overturn at Christmas, made mistakes early in last years Champion and late on in the previous year's Supreme. On the up side he may jump better over 3 miles. So Young each way without Big Bucks looks a bet also. But mainly I'll be laying Big Bucks for my small lot at 8/13 or so.



All that said, of course Big Bucks can win tomorrow, I just think he's far too short. If he does his status will go from one of the best, to the greatest ever stayer in my opinion. I'm willing to take that chance. The pressure of the world may prove to much for 4th time.

Interesting to note that maybe tomorrow the opposite will happen to the cliche norm.......In running punters often brag correctly that they backed Big Bucks at enhanced odds in running when he hit his notorious flat spot and still wins. During the percieved 'flat spot' tomorrow in may infact be the 'fatal spot' in the race to regain his crown. And if he were to be beaten, value may be had in running against him too. Punters may not judge the race on it's merits but may be willing and ready to take bigger prices no matter what the circumstances.

4.00 Byrne Group Plate
Glam Gerry and Hectors Choice are taken against the field.

4.40 Kim Muir
Midnight Appeal the tentative selection.

Tuesday, 13 March 2012

Grand Renewal

Wednesday -Day 2

Quick ground is expected as the drying course gets no water overnight. I'm short on time but I fancy tomorrow's card as a bookmaker. That said, there are plenty of offers to make up for some of the difficulties of the contests.

1.30 The 4 Miler
Between TeaforThree and Allez Garde for me. Either running well would give a boost to Join Together and/or First Lieutenant in the RSA. TeaforThree is a gorgeous type who is preferred if handling the ground, he will love the trip.

2.05 Neptune Novices Hurdle
Still reeling Fingal Bay hasn't made it.....How far?!  We have what we have though and I'm not inspired. The market is latching on to Simonsig and he is priced on potential. Sous Les Cieux is also priced on potential. I suppose if Monksland was trained by WP Mullins he'd be 3's but I'm still not convinced by trainer record and other factor's. I hope for a result. Benefficient is probably overpriced and may be an ew poke.

2.40 RSA Chase
What a renewal. This is a corker. Grand Crus running here has gave it a serious shot in the arm. I am however happy to lay him. The one I am most happy yo take him on with is First Lieutenant. I was with the Gigginstown Stud horse ante post in the winter at 14s and 16s knowing full well to draw a line through poor runs on soft ground. The subsequent collapse in price due to various tipsters putting him up as their selections though made me change my mind. Even up until days ago I considered him short enough considering he's had his problems( bled and back problems). Tomorrow though on further examination; he's ticking a hell of a lot of boxes. Ground, Course Form, Festival Form ( Rock on Ruby finished behind him in the Neptune last year!) and I'm happy to take the trainer's assurances he's back in good form. The jockey is as good a big day rider as you'll get. He is becoming more attractive nearer the race. Bobs worth going left handed on a course he loves will be a different proposition. He is a worthy main protagonist. Join Together is potentially very good and should enjoy the spring ground. All in all the depth of the race leaves me willing to take on Grand Crus at 6/4 or shorter. The race might be run to suit Mouse Morris' trained charge and in a late u-turn he is my selection.


Champion Chase
In my opinion the prices are bang on and I cant get enthusiastic about it for a bet. Evs is a fair price Sizing europe. If you thought Kauto Stone would handle quicker ground he may be ew value. No bet.

Coral Cup
Balgarry could be chucked in and would have to earn a 1pt win at around 7s. Others that interest me are Veiled and Megastar. 5 places ew about the latter 2 may represent value.

Fred Winter
Nil is agam

Champion Bumpion
Lazy selections the highly regarded The New One and the horse in the field most likely to run it's race is the rack solid Jezki, who has the best form in the book for me.

Happy punting.

Monday, 12 March 2012

Flying with the Wind

Day one. One thirty. The roar of the crowd. It doesn't get much better than this.

Supreme Novices 1.30

The JP McManus owned Darlan is favourite here at 5/1. There is fierce good vibes coming from the Henderson and McManus camp;fuelled by the Preview evening cicuit, where Geraghty has rated him well better than Tetlami, Frank Berry’s best idea of a JP winner and different pundits saying what price would he be had he not fallen when travelling well in the Betfair hurdle. All fair points but he is nearly priced on potential rather than what he’s done.
Steps to Freedom has winning course form and has plenty of good flat, bumper and hurdle form in the book. His layoff is a worried but by all accounts by design. I love it’s trainer Jessica Harrington and trust her to have the Statue of Liberty gelding ready to thrive. One bit of news that it hammered Oscar Wells in apiece of work last week has seen the price tumble, but if the video is true,then it had to tumble! Bear in mind though Oscar Wells is not a great workhorse at home.

The joker in the pack may be Dylan Ross trained by Noel Meade. Joker in more ways than one. 2nd I don’t know how many times, this horse excites his trainer and especially Paul Carberry. This year he only got goodish ground once and ran a cracker 2nd to Cash and Go (absent) at Leopardstown at Christmas. He is supposed to have had a breathing operation which may help him to finish out his races somewhat better. This horse will not love the hill! But Carberry will ride him to sleep to finish in the best possible position at the end, and therefore makes him a corking each bet at the somewhat disrespectful price of 40/1 with some firms at present. He should travel like a dream and make for a bet to lay option in running. Carberry holds him in high regards which makes me keep the faith with him tomorrow. Better ground and a big pace to run at will help greatly.With a bit of luck PC can give punters heart palpitations all over again with a Harchibald style spin. The owners from Clogherhead have a right to be full of hope heading over, what a thrill it is to have a runner in the opener.
Midnight Game, who defeated Dylan Ross in Navan would be a real contender in my opinion until the news that he has worked bad in the immediate run up to the race, hence the drift. Previously his work at home was electric (according to D Russell) who now rides safer proposition Trifolium whose recent form has worked out giving him an each way chance.

Selection  Steps to Freedom win, Dylan Ross each way.

Arkle

The mighty Sprinter Sacre is barely odds on in this hot, all be it thin renewal. He looks a machine. Could a wind operation have made him bomb proof or does it matter that he’s that good over fences anyway. The punters of Al Ferof at 5/1 each way ¼ 1,2,3 will not fret no matter what happens. He is sure to run his race, be staying on up the hill and if something gets into a battle with the gallant grey, they’ll most likely come out the worst. The key to this race is Cue Card. If he leads at a fast pace, he will run himself into the ground, slit throats with Menorah and most likely set the race up for Henderson’s hotpot. If he were to take a lead, it’s the only way I see him winning and alternatively Sprinter Sacre being beaten. As Geraghty’s mount may be free with a slow gallop or a horse upsides getting him to race early. Menorah has the raw pace for an arkle making him a win proposition but jumping puts me off. Taking the Tizzards on the word I reckon they will set it up for Sprinter Sacre putting in a big display. I’d be surprised if Cue Card and Menorah both got round but I hope I’m wrong.
 
Selection; Sprinter Sacre   (Take the industry biggest in morning as they are ferociously competing for everyones business and I can see him going off 4/6 or 8/13)

Champion Hurdle

Another Grade One, another wind op. Has Binoculars recent procedure brought him back to his best. I’m willing to think not and happy to lay him at the current prices. He however is a class jumper on his day, cat like, just like Ireland’s banker Hurricane Fly. I cannot fault this horse. His price is about right. He’s been as impressive this year as any. Ruby will ride him to perfection and he is a bit special. That said; my idea of a bet in the race is Zarkandar each way. I like his profile. Course winner, stayer, in good recent form winning despite a slow pace in Newbury when Darlan fell. Most importantly of all though is that Zarkandar, we are told by Paul Nicholls will improve bundles for that run and will improve also for a stronger pace. He is a similar type to proven course winner and stablemate Rock on Ruby. Oscar Wells is an awkard enough jumper but will also improve for quicker ground and has a big engine. His price is about right now but wouldn’t be surprised if it ran a place. Zaidpour is only running as ground will be at its softest all week than, not soft enough however for this classy type Kalann not the worst 200/1 shot that ever ran and Overturn at big prices are perfectly acceptable as the throwaway bets each way.

Selection:  Zarkandar ew


JLT Speciality Handicap Chase 2.40
Quantitative Easing, Baile Anrai and Fruity O’Rooney ew    Selection the latter

Glenfarclas Cross Country  4.00
This is run in the centre of the course and as they are unable to water it will be firm. Looking for good ground specialists in this it surprised me that many handle firm. Scotsirish is fav as he is classier over chase fences but that mightn’t be reason enough to make him favourite for this unique test. My only thoughts are that Uncle Junior should run a big race have taking kindly to cross country (what better prepation than Tramore!)
Otherwise I think Garde Champetre is a place lay as his best days are behind him and he’d appreciate a cut in the ground.
Selection ; Uncle Junior ew if 16 run, lay Garde Champetre place

OLBG Mares Hurdle
Quevega is miles clear once again on form book and is a very fair price at 1-2. She has taken liberty at her hurdles in the past though and news of her making a bad mistake schooling last week doesn’t inspire. Race rustyness with her jumping a slight negative. Once she doesn’t come down though she’ll still win. Backers might want to take 1/3 faller insurance if they really want to play. The scrap for places is really competitive. Baby Shine is progressive and may run well at a price. 

Selection; No Bet

Pulteney Novice Handicap Chase

Hunt Ball is really progressive and its form is working out a treat.
The selection; in a really tough handicap.


Kingbet are ¼ the odds all races at Cheltenham.
Kingbet are money back if your horse is 2nd in the Supreme on singles to a €100 max.
Extra Placings, enhaced prices will be available in the shop from 8am each morning.

Good luck and enjoy for me the greatest week in horseracing.
Peter Kingston

Feel free to leave your thoughts and tips below in a comment!

Thursday, 16 February 2012

The Poisoned Chalice

And so, the soap opera that is the English football team claims another victim. Potential England managers beware. Your every move is media fodder. Talk about your replacement is commonplace even while you're in the job. And if you do something the FA don't like, they might not stand behind you.
There is a term from employment law called constructive dismissal. It means that while your employer may not have fired you, they made it impossible for you to continue in your job, thereby achieving the same thing. This is the situation Fabio Capello found himself in last week, and that is why he had no choice but to go.


Since taking over in 2007, Capello has had the job of running a team whose egos and expectations greatly exceed their abilities. He hasn't been spectacularly good, but neither has he imploded, and in the England job, that is an achievement in itself. After beginning his career with a wrangle about whether to field David Beckham, Capello has qualified comfortably for the past few major tournaments, and pulled off a few nice results in the process, including beating world champions Spain in a friendly. Where the team's shortcomings have been exposed, most notably against Germany in 2010, they are more the result of a structural failure of English football to deliver the kind of players needed than any major tactical issues. Perhaps most importantly, Capello is the first English manager in decades with a serious managerial pedigree, having won titles with every club he ever managed, including leading AC Milan through a hugely successful spell in the early 1990s, culminating in the club winning the 1994 Champions' League.
While he has never managed to repeat that level of achievement, he has been reasonably successful since, and England's decision to hire him, rather than an Englishman, looks to have been the right one. There has been a serious paucity of decent English managers in the game in recent years, and while national pride is important, results are what count.
And yet, for all this, Capello has been consistently dogged by problems. Manufactured media scandals follow his every decision, and every peccadillo of the players. A few years ago, rumours that he was about to depart for the Roma job swirled around. More recently, he has been forced to endure endless talk about when Harry Redknapp was coming in to replace him. And now we have the whole John Terry debacle.
John Terry is not a shining example of humanity. Following the revelations of his affair with then-Chelsea and England teammate Wayne Bridge's ex-girlfriend, Capello was essentially forced to strip him of the England captaincy, before restoring him to the position. Last week, Capello attempted to stand firm over retaining Terry in the aftermath of racism charges being brought against him. This time he was overruled.


Racism is a problem in professional football and has been for a long time. In the wake of the Terry scandal and the business about Luis Suarez, it appears a clampdown is finally happening. In this light, John Terry is exactly the wrong man to captain a mixed-race team, particularly given that one of his England teammates, Rio Ferdinand, is the brother of the player Terry abused. The problem is that none of us are in possession of the reasons Capello picks his team captain. Maybe, in a team of such competing egos, someone like John Terry is needed to keep things in check. In any case, much as outsiders may cluck and tut at Capello's support for Terry, they should remember that, as team manager, the decision is Fabio Capello's alone.
Whatever reason Capello had for retaining Terry, it appears the FA saw things differently. At this point they had two options which would have been acceptable. They could have stated, correctly, that it is not their place to interfere with the day-to-day running of the national team and the decision was Capello's. Alternatively, they could have stated that due to irreconcilable differences, Capello was being sacked.
Instead they chose to weasel their way out of things by overruling Capello. In doing this they violated a key principle, that of back them or sack them. Top end managers will inevitably insist on complete control of their team. They are, after all, the ones who will take the fall if the team does poorly, and responsibility without authority is unworkable. Whatever the suggestions that this may have been a convenient excuse for Fabio Capello to walk away from the team; the reality is that the FA behaved in a thoroughly dishonourable way. Letting Capello make his own decision might have been unpopular, but it would have been right. Firing him might have made the FA look petty, but it was the only decent alternative. Instead, Capello is the one who comes out badly, as he walked away from a team before a major tournament.
Now what? The England manager's position has always been, to put it mildly, something of a challenge. It's bad enough that the media second guess your decisions, but now the FA have set a precedent that they too might overstep their prerogatives and interfere with the team. The fact that a new manager might extract a promise from the FA not to do this is irrelevant, as no doubt Capello thought he had such a guarantee. The upshot is that the job, never overly popular in the first place, is now going to look even more toxic.
Of course, there really is only one candidate for the job. With the naked racism that the English media thinks is bluff honesty, it has been decided that only an Englishman can manage the English team properly. And, of course, that means Harry Redknapp, undoubtedly the best English manager in the game at the moment.


The problem with the "Redknapp to the rescue" is that it is long on hope and short on reality. Harry looks the part of the traditional gaffer, but beyond that, what is there to recommend him? Granted, he got Spurs to the Champions League quarter-finals, but set that against Capello's glittering resume, and it looks less of an achievement. His trophy cabinet consists of an FA Cup and an Intertoto Cup win, whereas Capello has won league titles with four different clubs and the Champions League with AC Milan. Harry's main asset, his ability to spot a bargain, will count less in the international game.
The problem is that there is now such an aura of inevitability about Redknapp's appointment that none of the parties have a choice. Harry wants the job, and even if he didn't, saying no would be very difficult indeed. Were the FA to offer anyone else the position, the media would have a field day. And, most importantly, the shabby treatment of Fabio Capello is going to deter an awful lot of candidates.
So Harry gets the job, then what? The structural problems in English football will persist. There is no great overhaul of player development on the horizon of the sorts that revolutionised German, French and Spanish national teams, so Harry is going to have exactly the same type of player as has failed to win anything in nearly fifty years. Two more trophyless tournaments and the media will be calling for his head.
The English job was always football's poisoned chalice. Thanks to Fabio Capello's resignation, it has just got a little more toxic. Without major changes at all levels of the game in England, the long spell in the wilderness shows no sign of ending. However, as long as they continue to blame the manager, England will never face up to this reality.
Citing his success at Sierra Games' little-known 1998 title Ultimate Soccer Manager 98, Greg Bowler has formally applied for the England job and expects good news very soon.